Question Details

A bag contains N balls out of which 3 balls are white, 6 balls are green, and the remaining balls are blue. Assume that the balls are identical otherwise. Three balls are drawn randomly one after the other without replacement. For i = 1,2,3, let and Wi Gi Bi denote the events that the ball drawn in the ith draw is a white ball, green ball, and blue ball, respectively. If the probability  P ( W 1 G 2 B 3 ) = 2 5 N and the conditional probability  P ( B 3 W 1 G 2 ) = 2 9 , then N equals ______.

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Correct Answer :

11

Solution :

The correct answer is 11.

Let's solve the problem step-by-step.

We are given a bag containing a total of N balls, which consists of:
- White balls: 3
- Green balls: 6
- Blue balls: N-9

Three balls are drawn randomly one after another without replacement. Let W1 be the event that the first ball drawn is white, G2 be the event that the second ball drawn is green, and B3 be the event that the third ball drawn is blue.

We are given the conditional probability:
P(B3W1G2)=29

Let us express the conditional probability in terms of N. After drawing one white ball in the first draw and one green ball in the second draw:
- The number of remaining balls in the bag is N-2.
- The number of remaining blue balls is still N-9 (since no blue ball has been drawn yet).

Therefore, the conditional probability of drawing a blue ball on the third draw, given that the first was white and the second was green, is:
P(B3W1G2)=N-9N-2

Equating this to the given value:
N-9N-2=29

Cross-multiplying to solve for N:
9(N-9)=2(N-2)
9N-81=2N-4
7N=77
N=11

We can verify this value using the second probability condition given in the problem, namely:
P(W1G2B3)=25N

By the multiplication rule of probability, we have:
P(W1G2B3)=P(W1)P(G2W1)P(B3W1G2)

Substituting the corresponding probabilities:
- P(W1)=3N
- P(G2W1)=6N-1
- P(B3W1G2)=29

Thus:
P(W1G2B3)=3N6N-129=369N(N-1)=4N(N-1)

Equating this to the given probability value:
4N(N-1)=25N

Since N0, we can divide both sides by N:
4N-1=25
2(N-1)=20
N-1=10
N=11

Both equations yield the same consistent value. Thus, N=11.

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