Question Details

A5×5 each element following Bernoulli (P = 0.50) Dist. independently. The prob. that row sum of the second row and column sum of the third column are both equal to 3 is

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Correct Answer :

0.10

Solution :

The correct answer is 0.10.

Let A5×5 be a 5 by 5 matrix where each element ai,j is an independent Bernoulli random variable with success probability p=0.50. This means each element can take the value 1 with probability 0.50, or 0 with probability 0.50.

We want to find the probability that the row sum of the second row (Row 2) is equal to 3, and the column sum of the third column (Column 3) is equal to 3, simultaneously.

Let R be the sum of elements in Row 2:
R=a2,1+a2,2+a2,3+a2,4+a2,5

Let C be the sum of elements in Column 3:
C=a1,3+a2,3+a3,3+a4,3+a5,3

Notice that these two sums share exactly one matrix element in common, which is the intersection element a2,3. The remaining elements in Row 2 and Column 3 are all independent of each other. Let us analyze the probability by conditioning on the value of this shared element, a2,3.

Case 1: a2,3=1
This event occurs with probability P(a2,3=1)=0.50.
If a2,3=1, then for the sum of Row 2 to equal 3, the remaining 4 elements in Row 2 must sum to 2. These 4 elements are independent Bernoulli(0.50) variables, so their sum follows a Binomial distribution with parameters n=4 and p=0.50.
The probability that their sum is 2 is:
P(Row 2 sum=3a2,3=1)=420.520.52=6×0.0625=0.375
Similarly, for the Column 3 sum to equal 3, the remaining 4 elements in Column 3 must sum to 2. This also follows a Binomial distribution with n=4 and p=0.5:
P(Column 3 sum=3a2,3=1)=420.520.52=0.375
Since the remaining elements of Row 2 and Column 3 are disjoint and thus independent, the conditional joint probability for Case 1 is:
P(R=3C=3a2,3=1)=0.375×0.375=0.140625

Case 2: a2,3=0
This event occurs with probability P(a2,3=0)=0.50.
If a2,3=0, then for the sum of Row 2 to equal 3, the remaining 4 elements in Row 2 must sum to 3. The probability is:
P(Row 2 sum=3a2,3=0)=430.530.51=4×0.0625=0.25
Similarly, for the Column 3 sum to equal 3, the remaining 4 elements in Column 3 must sum to 3:
P(Column 3 sum=3a2,3=0)=430.530.51=0.25
The conditional joint probability for Case 2 is:
P(R=3C=3a2,3=0)=0.25×0.25=0.0625

Total Probability Calculation:
Using the law of total probability, we combine the two cases:
P(R=3C=3)=P(R=3C=3a2,3=1)P(a2,3=1)+P(R=3C=3a2,3=0)P(a2,3=0)
P(R=3C=3)=(0.140625×0.50)+(0.0625×0.50)
P(R=3C=3)=0.0703125+0.03125=0.1015625

Rounding this probability to two decimal places gives approximately 0.10.

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