Question Details

Consider an experiment of tossing a coin repeatedly until the outcomes of two consecutive tosses are the same. If the probability of a random toss resulting in a head is 13, then the probability that the experiment stops with a head is:

Options

A

13

B

521

C

421

D

27

Show Answer

Correct Answer :

Option B

521

Solution :

The correct option is 521.


Let us analyze the problem step-by-step to calculate the probability that the experiment stops with a head.


1. Define the given probabilities for a single toss:
Let H denote getting a Head and T denote getting a Tail.
Probability of getting a Head, P(H) = 13.
Probability of getting a Tail, P(T) = 1 - 13 = 23.


2. Understand the stopping condition:
The experiment stops as soon as two consecutive tosses yield the same outcome (i.e., HH or TT).
Therefore, for the experiment to stop with a head, the sequence of tosses must end with HH, and no two consecutive outcomes prior to the last toss can be identical.


3. Identify the valid sequences ending in HH:
Since consecutive tosses before the final pair must alternate (to avoid stopping earlier), there are two possible types of sequences depending on the initial toss:


Case A: Sequence starts with Head (H)
The sequence of outcomes must alternate until the final toss: H, T, H, T, ..., H, H.
• 2 tosses: H H (Not alternating, just two heads)
Probability = P(H) × P(H) = (13)×(13)=19
• 4 tosses: H T H H
Probability = P(H) × P(T) × P(H) × P(H) = (13)×(23)×(13)×(13)=281
• 6 tosses: H T H T H H
Probability = (13)×(23)×(13)×(23)×(13)×(13)=4729
In general, for a sequence of length 2n starting with H:
Probability PA,n = (13)n×(23)n-1×(13)


Summing this infinite geometric series for Case A:
PA=19+281+4729+
This is an infinite geometric series with first term a=19 and common ratio r=29.
PA=a1-r=191-29=1979=17


Case B: Sequence starts with Tail (T)
The sequence of outcomes alternates starting with T: T, H, T, H, ..., H, H.
• 3 tosses: T H H
Probability = P(T) × P(H) × P(H) = (23)×(13)×(13)=227
• 5 tosses: T H T H H
Probability = P(T) × P(H) × P(T) × P(H) × P(H) = (23)×(13)×(23)×(13)×(13)=4243
Summing this infinite geometric series for Case B:
PB=227+4243+
This is an infinite geometric series with first term a=227 and common ratio r=29.
PB=a1-r=2271-29=22779=227×97=221


4. Total Probability:
The total probability that the experiment stops with a head is the sum of probabilities of Case A and Case B:
P=PA+PB=17+221=321+221=521


Thus, the probability that the experiment stops with a head is 521.

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