Consider an experiment of tossing a coin repeatedly until the outcomes of two consecutive tosses are the same. If the probability of a random toss resulting in a head is , then the probability that the experiment stops with a head is:
Correct Answer :
Solution :
The correct option is .
Let us analyze the problem step-by-step to calculate the probability that the experiment stops with a head.
1. Define the given probabilities for a single toss:
Let H denote getting a Head and T denote getting a Tail.
Probability of getting a Head, P(H) = .
Probability of getting a Tail, P(T) = 1 - = .
2. Understand the stopping condition:
The experiment stops as soon as two consecutive tosses yield the same outcome (i.e., HH or TT).
Therefore, for the experiment to stop with a head, the sequence of tosses must end with HH, and no two consecutive outcomes prior to the last toss can be identical.
3. Identify the valid sequences ending in HH:
Since consecutive tosses before the final pair must alternate (to avoid stopping earlier), there are two possible types of sequences depending on the initial toss:
Case A: Sequence starts with Head (H)
The sequence of outcomes must alternate until the final toss: H, T, H, T, ..., H, H.
• 2 tosses: H H (Not alternating, just two heads)
Probability = P(H) × P(H) =
• 4 tosses: H T H H
Probability = P(H) × P(T) × P(H) × P(H) =
• 6 tosses: H T H T H H
Probability =
In general, for a sequence of length 2n starting with H:
Probability PA,n =
Summing this infinite geometric series for Case A:
This is an infinite geometric series with first term and common ratio .
Case B: Sequence starts with Tail (T)
The sequence of outcomes alternates starting with T: T, H, T, H, ..., H, H.
• 3 tosses: T H H
Probability = P(T) × P(H) × P(H) =
• 5 tosses: T H T H H
Probability = P(T) × P(H) × P(T) × P(H) × P(H) =
Summing this infinite geometric series for Case B:
This is an infinite geometric series with first term and common ratio .
4. Total Probability:
The total probability that the experiment stops with a head is the sum of probabilities of Case A and Case B:
Thus, the probability that the experiment stops with a head is .
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