Question Details

Let X be a random variable that follows uniform (-1, 1) dist. The conditional dist. of the random variable Y given X = x is the Uniform (x2 - 0.1, x2 + 0.1) dist. The value of correlation (X, Y) is______ .

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Correct Answer :

0

Solution :

The correct option is 0.

To find the correlation between the random variables X and Y, we use the formula for correlation:

Corr ( X , Y ) = Cov ( X , Y ) σ X σ Y

where the covariance is defined as:

Cov ( X , Y ) = E [ X Y ] - E [ X ] E [ Y ]

First, we find the expected value of X. Since X is uniformly distributed on the interval (-1,1), its probability density function is symmetric around 0. Thus, its expected value is:

E [ X ] = 0

Next, we calculate the expected value of the product XY by applying the law of total expectation:

E [ X Y ] = E [ E [ X Y | X ] ] = E [ X · E [ Y | X ] ]

We are given that the conditional distribution of Y given X=x is Uniform(x2-0.1,x2+0.1). The mean of a uniform distribution over [a,b] is given by a+b2. Therefore, the conditional expectation of Y given X=x is:

E [ Y | X = x ] = ( x 2 - 0.1 ) + ( x 2 + 0.1 ) 2 = x 2

Substituting this back into the expectation of XY:

E [ X Y ] = E [ X · X 2 ] = E [ X 3 ]

Because the distribution of X is symmetric about 0, the expectation of any odd power of X over this symmetric interval is 0. We can show this explicitly by integrating over the probability density function f(x)=12 for x(-1,1):

E [ X 3 ] = - 1 1 x 3 · 1 2 d x = [ x 4 8 ] - 1 1 = 1 8 - 1 8 = 0

This gives us E[XY]=0.

Now we substitute our values back into the covariance formula:

Cov ( X , Y ) = E [ X Y ] - E [ X ] E [ Y ] = 0 - 0 · E [ Y ] = 0

Since the covariance between X and Y is 0, the correlation is also 0:

Corr ( X , Y ) = 0

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