Suppose that Box I contains 6 red balls and 9 green balls, and Box II contains 8 red balls and 12 green balls. All the balls of Box I and Box II are mixed together and a ball is chosen at random from them. Let E1 be the event that the ball chosen belonged to Box I and let E2 be the event that the ball chosen belonged to Box II. Let F1 be the event that the ball chosen is red and let F2 be the event that the ball chosen is green.
Then which of the following statements is (are) TRUE?
Correct Answer :
The events E1 and F1 are independent
The conditional probability P(F1|E1) is equal to the conditional probability P(F1|E2)
Solution :
The correct options are:
1. The events E1 and F1 are independent
2. The conditional probability P(F1|E1) is equal to the conditional probability P(F1|E2)
Let us analyze the given information step-by-step:
Step 1: Summarize the contents of the boxes.
Box I contains 6 red balls and 9 green balls.
Total number of balls in Box I = 6 + 9 = 15.
Box II contains 8 red balls and 12 green balls.
Total number of balls in Box II = 8 + 12 = 20.
All balls from Box I and Box II are mixed together.
Total number of balls in total = 15 + 20 = 35.
Total red balls = 6 + 8 = 14.
Total green balls = 9 + 12 = 21.
Step 2: Define the events and calculate individual probabilities.
Let a ball be drawn at random from the 35 mixed balls.
• E1: Event that the ball chosen belonged to Box I.
• E2: Event that the ball chosen belonged to Box II.
• F1: Event that the ball chosen is red.
• F2: Event that the ball chosen is green.
Step 3: Calculate joint probabilities and conditional probabilities.
The event (E1 ∩ F1) means choosing a red ball from Box I.
Number of red balls from Box I = 6.
Let's check if :
Since , the events E1 and F1 are independent.
Now, calculate conditional probabilities:
Conditional probability P(F1|E1) is the probability that the ball is red given it is from Box I:
Conditional probability P(F1|E2) is the probability that the ball is red given it is from Box II:
Thus, .
Therefore, the conditional probability P(F1|E1) is equal to the conditional probability P(F1|E2).
Step 4: Verify remaining statements.
• For E2 and F2:
Hence, E2 and F2 are independent (making the statement "E2 and F2 are dependent" FALSE).
• For conditional probabilities P(F1|E1) and P(F2|E2):
Since , P(F1|E1) is less than P(F2|E2), making that statement FALSE.
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