Question Details

Which of the following is the probability of x successes in a binomial distribution with number of trails n and probability of success as θ(0 < θ < 1) in each trail?


Options

A

n P x θ x ( 1 θ ) n x , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , n

B

n c x θ x ( 1 θ ) n x , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , n

C

n c x θ ( 1 θ ) , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , n


D

n c x θ x ( 1 θ ) x , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , n

Show Answer

Correct Answer :

Option B

n c x θ x ( 1 θ ) n x , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , n

Solution :

The correct option is:

n c x θ x ( 1 θ ) n x , x = 0 , 1 , 2 , ... , n

Step-by-Step Explanation:

A binomial distribution describes the probability of obtaining a specific number of successes in a fixed number of independent trials (Bernoulli trials). Let us break down the formula components:

1. Definition of Variables:
- Let n be the total number of independent trials.
- Let θ be the probability of success in each individual trial, where 0 < θ < 1.
- The probability of failure in each individual trial is therefore 1 - θ.
- Let x be the number of successful trials, which can take any integer value from 0 up to n.

2. Probability of a Specific Sequence:
If we want exactly x successes and consequently n - x failures in a specific, ordered sequence, the probability of that sequence occurring is the product of the individual probabilities of each trial, since the trials are independent:
θ x ( 1 θ ) n x

3. Accounting for All Possible Sequences:
There are multiple ways to arrange x successes and n - x failures in a sequence of n trials. The number of unique sequences is given by the combination formula:
n c x = n ! x ! ( n x ) !

4. Final Probability Mass Function:
Multiplying the number of possible configurations by the probability of a single configuration yields the probability of obtaining exactly x successes:
P ( X = x ) = n c x θ x ( 1 θ ) n x where x = 0, 1, 2, ..., n. This matches the correct option.

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