Climate change may actually benefit some plants by lengthening growing seasons and increasing carbon dioxide. Yet other effects of a warmer world, such as more pests, droughts, and flooding, will be less benign. How will the world, adapt? Researchers project that by 2050, suitable croplands for four commodities — maize, potatoes, rice and wheat — will shift, in some cases pushing farmers to plant new crops. Some farmlands may benefit from warming, but others won’t. Climate alone does not dictate yields; political shifts, global demand, and agricultural practices will influence how farms fare in the future.
Question: Which one of the following is the most logical and rational inference that can be made from the above passage ?
Correct Answer :
Farmers who modernize their methods and diversify their fields will be in an advantageous position in future.
Solution :
The correct option is: Farmers who modernize their methods and diversify their fields will be in an advantageous position in future.
Step-by-Step Explanation:
1. Analyze the passage details:
The passage discusses the complex effects of climate change on agriculture. On one hand, some plants might benefit from longer growing seasons and increased carbon dioxide. On the other hand, negative effects like pests, droughts, and flooding will occur. It projects that by 2050, suitable croplands for major commodities (maize, potatoes, rice, and wheat) will shift, which will push farmers to plant new crops (crop diversification). Finally, it notes that climate alone does not dictate yields; political shifts, global demand, and agricultural practices (methods of farming) will influence how farms fare.
2. Evaluate the Correct Option:
The passage states that suitable croplands will shift, pushing farmers to plant new crops (which refers to diversifying fields). It also states that agricultural practices/methods, along with global demand and political shifts, will influence how farms fare in the future. Therefore, farmers who adapt by modernizing their agricultural practices/methods and diversifying their fields (planting new crops to match shifting croplands) will be in a much stronger, more advantageous position to cope with these changes.
3. Why other options are incorrect:
- "Climate change will adversely affect the crop diversity": The passage suggests farmers will shift to new crops, which does not necessarily mean overall diversity will decrease.
- "Shifting major crops to new croplands will lead to a great increase in the total area under cultivation...": The passage only states that croplands will "shift" and farmers will plant new crops, but it does not claim this will expand the total area under cultivation or guarantee an increase in overall production.
- "Climate change is the most important factor affecting the agricultural economy in the future": The passage explicitly states that "climate alone does not dictate yields" and highlights that political shifts, global demand, and agricultural practices are also major influencing factors, meaning climate change is not single-handedly established as the "most important" factor.
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